Vasco da Gamavs
Vitória
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
1.1
Vitória xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Vitória
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Vitória?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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