Vitóriavs
Fluminense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Vitória xG
Expected goals
1.9
Fluminense xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
9%
0–3
6%
1–3
6%
Home
Vitória
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Fluminense
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Fluminense?
Fluminense is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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