Match Analysis

VitóriavsRed Bull Bragantino

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
25%
47%
Vitória winDrawRed Bull Bragantino win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.00
0.91Avg goals scored1.41
1.63Avg goals conceded1.24
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.6

Red Bull Bragantino xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win28%
Draw25%
Red Bull Bragantino Win47%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%