Match Analysis

VitóriavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
25%
47%
Vitória winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.91Avg goals scored1.39
1.63Avg goals conceded1.22
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.6

Santos xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

LLDDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Santos

Santos

LDDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 17 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win28%
Draw25%
Santos Win47%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%