1. FC Union Berlinvs
Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected goals
1.8
Borussia Dortmund xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
0–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–2
9%
0–0
6%
1–0
6%
Home
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?
1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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