Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
18%
64%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.40
0.66Avg goals scored3.20
1.86Avg goals conceded1.48
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

2.5

RB Leipzig xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–1

6%

0–3

6%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

LDLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win18%
Draw18%
RB Leipzig Win64%
BTTS67%
Over 2.573%