Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsTSG Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
23%
48%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
0.66Avg goals scored1.74
1.86Avg goals conceded1.64
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

1.8

TSG Hoffenheim xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

LDLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

WDLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs TSG Hoffenheim?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win29%
Draw23%
TSG Hoffenheim Win48%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%