Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsBorussia Mönchengladbach

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
18%
24%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
2.06Avg goals scored1.28
2.03Avg goals conceded2.41
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1.6

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win58%
Draw18%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win24%
BTTS74%
Over 2.579%