โšก Match Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen vs Rb Leipzig

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
19%
22%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.67Avg goals scored1.77
1.40Avg goals conceded2.06
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1.5

RB Leipzig xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

8%

2โ€“2

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

6%

2โ€“0

6%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Bayer Leverkusenall timeRb Leipzig
4W
1D
1W
2 May 26
Bayer Leverkusen4โ€“1RB Leipzig
20 Dec 25
RB Leipzig1โ€“3Bayer Leverkusen
25 Jan 25
RB Leipzig2โ€“2Bayer Leverkusen
31 Aug 24
Bayer Leverkusen2โ€“3RB Leipzig
20 Jan 24
RB Leipzig2โ€“3Bayer Leverkusen
19 Aug 23
Bayer Leverkusen3โ€“2RB Leipzig

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Rb Leipzig?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 4, drew 1, and Rb Leipzig won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win59%
Draw19%
RB Leipzig Win22%
BTTS70%
Over 2.573%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š