Bayer Leverkusenvs
SC Freiburg
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Bayer Leverkusen xG
Expected goals
2
SC Freiburg xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.1 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
SC Freiburg
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?
Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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