Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsVfB Stuttgart

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
21%
37%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
2.06Avg goals scored1.72
2.03Avg goals conceded1.44
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1.9

VfB Stuttgart xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win42%
Draw21%
VfB Stuttgart Win37%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%