Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Bayern Munich winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.60
3.09Avg goals scored1.65
1.13Avg goals conceded0.86
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1.4

Borussia Dortmund xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–0

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win53%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund Win26%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%