Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
19%
31%
Bayern Munich winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
3.10Avg goals scored3.20
1.13Avg goals conceded1.49
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

2

RB Leipzig xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

1–2

5%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win50%
Draw19%
RB Leipzig Win31%
BTTS80%
Over 2.584%