Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsWerder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
18%
21%
Bayern Munich winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
3.09Avg goals scored1.80
1.13Avg goals conceded1.48
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1.5

Werder Bremen xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win61%
Draw18%
Werder Bremen Win21%
BTTS71%
Over 2.576%