Borussia Dortmundvs
Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
1.4
Bayer Leverkusen xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
2–0
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.1 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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