Match Analysis

FC AugsburgvsSC Freiburg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
20%
49%
FC Augsburg winDrawSC Freiburg win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
2.01Avg goals scored1.99
2.56Avg goals conceded1.18
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

FC Augsburg xG

Expected goals

2.3

SC Freiburg xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

5%

Home

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Augsburg's current form?

FC Augsburg have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Augsburg Win31%
Draw20%
SC Freiburg Win49%
BTTS75%
Over 2.578%