Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsBayern Munich

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
19%
59%
Hamburg SV winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.33Avg goals scored3.09
1.92Avg goals conceded1.13
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

2.5

Bayern Munich xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–2

6%

2–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.1 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win22%
Draw19%
Bayern Munich Win59%
BTTS71%
Over 2.576%