Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsSchalke 04

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Hamburg SV winDrawSchalke 04 win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.20
1.33Avg goals scored0.51
1.92Avg goals conceded1.29
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

1.2

Schalke 04 xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

LLLDL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs Schalke 04?

Hamburg SV is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win45%
Draw25%
Schalke 04 Win30%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%