Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Mainz xG
Expected goals
2.2
Bayer Leverkusen xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Mainz
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.1 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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