Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.5
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
2–0
6%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Eintracht Frankfurt
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.1
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Mainz is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Mainz won 2, drew 2, and Eintracht Frankfurt won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Bundesliga