Match Analysis

SC Freiburgvs1. FC Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
19%
17%
SC Freiburg winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.60
1.99Avg goals scored0.66
1.18Avg goals conceded1.87
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

1

1. FC Union Berlin xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

LDLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win64%
Draw19%
1. FC Union Berlin Win17%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%