Sc Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
SC Freiburg xG
Expected goals
1.8
Borussia Dortmund xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
6%
1–3
6%
Home
SC Freiburg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sc Freiburg's current form?
Sc Freiburg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Bundesliga