Match Analysis

SC FreiburgvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
21%
41%
SC Freiburg winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
1.99Avg goals scored3.20
1.18Avg goals conceded1.48
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

2.1

RB Leipzig xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Freiburg's current form?

SC Freiburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win38%
Draw21%
RB Leipzig Win41%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%