Match Analysis

Schalke 04vsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Schalke 04 winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game0.60
0.51Avg goals scored1.82
1.29Avg goals conceded2.34
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Schalke 04 xG

Expected goals

1.6

Mainz xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

LLLDL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Schalke 04's current form?

Schalke 04 have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Schalke 04 Win38%
Draw24%
Mainz Win38%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%