Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Schalke 04 xG
Expected goals
1.6
Mainz xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Schalke 04
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Away
Mainz
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Schalke 04's current form?
Schalke 04 have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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