Match Analysis

SV ElversbergvsMainz

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
19%
32%
SV Elversberg winDrawMainz win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.82Avg goals scored1.82
2.04Avg goals conceded2.34
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

SV Elversberg xG

Expected goals

1.9

Mainz xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

LWLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Mainz

Mainz

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SV Elversberg vs Mainz?

SV Elversberg is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SV Elversberg's current form?

SV Elversberg have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SV Elversberg Win49%
Draw19%
Mainz Win32%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%