Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
SV Elversberg xG
Expected goals
1.9
Mainz xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
Home
SV Elversberg
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Mainz
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.3
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win SV Elversberg vs Mainz?
SV Elversberg is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is SV Elversberg's current form?
SV Elversberg have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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