Match Analysis

SV ElversbergvsSC Freiburg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
21%
45%
SV Elversberg winDrawSC Freiburg win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.40
1.82Avg goals scored1.99
2.04Avg goals conceded1.18
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

SV Elversberg xG

Expected goals

2

SC Freiburg xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

LWLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SV Elversberg's current form?

SV Elversberg have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SV Elversberg Win34%
Draw21%
SC Freiburg Win45%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%