Match Analysis

VfB Stuttgartvs1. FC Union Berlin

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
21%
20%
VfB Stuttgart winDraw1. FC Union Berlin win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.72Avg goals scored0.66
1.45Avg goals conceded1.87
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.1

1. FC Union Berlin xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

LDLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union Berlin?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

VfB Stuttgart have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win59%
Draw21%
1. FC Union Berlin Win20%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%