โšก Match Analysis

Vfb Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
21%
38%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
2.46Avg goals scored1.77
1.85Avg goals conceded0.95
1โ€“3โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.9

Borussia Dortmund xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

9%

2โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

0โ€“1

6%

1โ€“3

6%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

LDWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Vfb Stuttgartall timeBorussia Dortmund
4W
1D
1W
4 Apr 26
VfB Stuttgart0โ€“2Borussia Dortmund
22 Nov 25
Borussia Dortmund3โ€“3VfB Stuttgart
8 Feb 25
Borussia Dortmund1โ€“2VfB Stuttgart
22 Sep 24
VfB Stuttgart5โ€“1Borussia Dortmund
6 Apr 24
Borussia Dortmund0โ€“1VfB Stuttgart
11 Nov 23
VfB Stuttgart2โ€“1Borussia Dortmund

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vfb Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vfb Stuttgart's current form?

Vfb Stuttgart have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Vfb Stuttgart won 4, drew 1, and Borussia Dortmund won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win41%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund Win38%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š