Match Analysis

Werder BremenvsBayer Leverkusen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
20%
32%
Werder Bremen winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.80Avg goals scored2.06
1.48Avg goals conceded2.03
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

1.8

Bayer Leverkusen xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

5%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Werder Bremen is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win48%
Draw20%
Bayer Leverkusen Win32%
BTTS74%
Over 2.576%