Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
1.7
Lille xG
76%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 2.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Lille?
AS Roma is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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