Match Analysis

AS RomavsSporting CP

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
20%
37%
AS Roma winDrawSporting CP win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
2.65Avg goals scored1.79
2.15Avg goals conceded0.97
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

AS Roma xG

Expected goals

2

Sporting CP xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

2–3

5%

3–1

5%

Home

AS Roma

AS Roma

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 2.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sporting CP

Sporting CP

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?

AS Roma is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Roma's current form?

AS Roma have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Roma Win43%
Draw20%
Sporting CP Win37%
BTTS77%
Over 2.579%