Match Analysis

Aston VillavsParis Saint-Germain

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
18%
49%
Aston Villa winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
2.71Avg goals scored4.96
1.58Avg goals conceded1.17
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

2.7

Paris Saint-Germain xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–3

5%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

5.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win33%
Draw18%
Paris Saint-Germain Win49%
BTTS83%
Over 2.587%