Aston Villavs
Paris Saint-Germain
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
2.7
Paris Saint-Germain xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
1–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–3
5%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
5.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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