Barcelonavs
Aston Villa
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
2
Aston Villa xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
1–2
5%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
3.2 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Barcelona is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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