Match Analysis

BarcelonavsComo

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
18%
44%
Barcelona winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
3.25Avg goals scored5.24
1.47Avg goals conceded1.49
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Barcelona xG

Expected goals

2.7

Como xG

86%

Both Teams to Score

89%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

1–3

5%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

5.2 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Como?

Como is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Barcelona's current form?

Barcelona have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 86%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Barcelona Win38%
Draw18%
Como Win44%
BTTS86%
Over 2.589%