Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsArsenal

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
21%
33%
Bayern Munich winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.40
2.66Avg goals scored2.10
1.28Avg goals conceded0.90
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1.8

Arsenal xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

5%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win46%
Draw21%
Arsenal Win33%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%