Match Analysis

ComovsManchester United

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
14%
17%
Como winDrawManchester United win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
5.24Avg goals scored1.86
1.49Avg goals conceded2.27
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Como xG

Expected goals

1.8

Manchester United xG

81%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

6%

2–2

5%

4–2

5%

Home

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

5.2 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Manchester United

Manchester United

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Manchester United?

Como is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win69%
Draw14%
Manchester United Win17%
BTTS81%
Over 2.590%