Match Analysis

ComovsParis Saint-Germain

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
17%
36%
Como winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.60
5.24Avg goals scored4.96
1.49Avg goals conceded1.17
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Como xG

Expected goals

2.6

Paris Saint-Germain xG

88%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

2–3

5%

3–3

5%

1–2

4%

2–1

4%

Home

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

5.2 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

5.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Como is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win47%
Draw17%
Paris Saint-Germain Win36%
BTTS88%
Over 2.592%