Match Analysis

FC PortovsNapoli

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
18%
27%
FC Porto winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.00
1.88Avg goals scored1.68
1.63Avg goals conceded3.07
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

1.8

Napoli xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.6

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 3.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win55%
Draw18%
Napoli Win27%
BTTS77%
Over 2.581%