Match Analysis

FC PortovsPSV Eindhoven

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
22%
31%
FC Porto winDrawPSV Eindhoven win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.00
1.88Avg goals scored0.76
1.63Avg goals conceded1.08
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

FC Porto xG

Expected goals

1.6

PSV Eindhoven xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

FC Porto

FC Porto

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.6

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

FC Porto is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Porto Win47%
Draw22%
PSV Eindhoven Win31%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%