Match Analysis

FenerbahcevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
18%
46%
Fenerbahce winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.72Avg goals scored3.52
2.84Avg goals conceded2.73
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Fenerbahce xG

Expected goals

2.7

Liverpool xG

85%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

1–2

5%

1–3

5%

2–1

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.5 / 2.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 85%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fenerbahce Win36%
Draw18%
Liverpool Win46%
BTTS85%
Over 2.588%