Match Analysis

GalatasarayvsAston Villa

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
20%
39%
Galatasaray winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.00
2.17Avg goals scored2.71
1.93Avg goals conceded1.58
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Galatasaray xG

Expected goals

2.2

Aston Villa xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Galatasaray vs Aston Villa?

Galatasaray is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Galatasaray's current form?

Galatasaray have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Galatasaray Win41%
Draw20%
Aston Villa Win39%
BTTS79%
Over 2.581%