Match Analysis

GalatasarayvsBarcelona

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
19%
43%
Galatasaray winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.80
2.17Avg goals scored3.25
1.93Avg goals conceded1.47
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Galatasaray xG

Expected goals

2.3

Barcelona xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

2–1

6%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Galatasaray vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Galatasaray's current form?

Galatasaray have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Galatasaray Win38%
Draw19%
Barcelona Win43%
BTTS80%
Over 2.583%