Match Analysis

InternazionalevsLiverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
18%
34%
Internazionale winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.40
2.17Avg goals scored3.52
1.24Avg goals conceded2.73
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

2.2

Liverpool xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

1–2

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.5 / 2.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Liverpool?

Internazionale is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win48%
Draw18%
Liverpool Win34%
BTTS82%
Over 2.586%