Match Analysis

InternazionalevsShakhtar Donetsk

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
21%
29%
Internazionale winDrawShakhtar Donetsk win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
2.17Avg goals scored0.87
1.24Avg goals conceded1.00
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Internazionale xG

Expected goals

1.5

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Internazionale

Internazionale

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Internazionale is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Internazionale's current form?

Internazionale have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Internazionale Win50%
Draw21%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win29%
BTTS67%
Over 2.568%