Match Analysis

LensvsComo

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
11%
77%
Lens winDrawComo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.40
0.76Avg goals scored5.24
4.70Avg goals conceded1.49
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lens xG

Expected goals

4

Como xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

1–5

5%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

1–2

4%

Home

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 4.7

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Como

Como

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

5.2 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Como?

Como is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win12%
Draw11%
Como Win77%
BTTS82%
Over 2.593%