Lensvs
Manchester City
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Lens xG
Expected goals
3.2
Manchester City xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
6%
1–3
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
1–4
5%
2–4
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.7
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.2 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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