Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Lens xG
Expected goals
2.7
Sporting CP xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
7%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
2–3
6%
0–2
5%
Home
Lens
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.7
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Sporting CP
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lens vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lens's current form?
Lens have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League