Match Analysis

LillevsGalatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
20%
45%
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game3.00
0.83Avg goals scored2.17
2.24Avg goals conceded1.93
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lille xG

Expected goals

2.1

Galatasaray xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Galatasaray is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win35%
Draw20%
Galatasaray Win45%
BTTS75%
Over 2.576%