Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
2.2
FC Porto xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
7%
2–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–1
5%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.5 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
FC Porto
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.6
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs FC Porto?
Liverpool is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Champions League