Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.9
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lens xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
5–1
5%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
3.5 / 2.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lens
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 4.7
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Lens?
Liverpool is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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